SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES

May 24, 2012
THE FIELDS INSTITUTE
FOR RESEARCH IN MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES
20th ANNIVERSARY YEAR

May 19-27, 2013
Summer School on Mathematics of Infectious Disease
Organizing Committee
Jane Heffernan, Neal Madras
Seyed Moghadas, Jianhong Wu (contact person)
Huaiping Zhu
Mprime Centre for Disease Modelling at York
University

Overview

The summer school school will include lectures on mathematical epidemiology, and one of the most important aspects will be projects for groups of 4–6 students, mixing scientific backgrounds and levels of experience, and focusing on real-world problems around which students develop and analyze models. It will also incorporate several lectures on public-health topics with focus on those relevant to other events of MPE2013 such as global spread, Indigenous populations health, vector-borne diseases and integration of surveillance, statistical data analysis and dynamical modelling and simulations.

The goals of the Summer School are to encourage more developing scientists to become interested in this field and to encourage communication between mathematical modellers and public health scientists and epidemiologists who have been historically unaware of the uses of mathematical modeling.

Outline of the draft program

The program consists of:

1. coordinated sequences of lectures to cover the basic concepts and techniques in disease modelling;

2. public lectures for detailed case studies of specific diseases and public health issues. These lectures are indeed for the general public, specially for those not necessarily specialized in the field, so students of the summer school can learn how to communicate mathematical results effectively with the public;

3. pre-assigned student group projects, identified in advance with partner organizations;

4. student presentations.

Lecture notes will be available before the school, and students will be encouraged and assisted to follow-up their group projects for peer-reviewed journal publications.
The tentative schedule is given below:

Day 1: Registration, Public Lecture.

Day 2: Review of Basics: mathematics, epidemiology, stochastic simulations, computer lab.

Day 3: Basic deterministic compartmental models.

Day 4: Extensions of basic models, calculation of basic reproduction number, stochastic models (I).

Day 5: (held at the Fields Institute) Statistical issues and data analysis and structured population models; Public Lecture (Backward calculation of Canadian HIV/AIDS incidence).

Day 6: Meta-population: general theory; meta-population: applications to disease spread in transportation networks; Public Lecture (Global spread of emerging diseases).

Day 7: Student projects.

Day 8: Network modeling and agent-based simulations; Public Lecture (Impact of demographic variables on disease spread in remote communities).

Day 9: Disease spread: partial differential equations and periodic systems; Public Lecture (West Nile virus and Lyme disease).

Day 10: Stochastic models (II); advanced topics on surveillance, data analysis and model parametrization; Student project presentations (I).

Day 11: Student project presentations (II).

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