FUTURE TEACHERS

March 19, 2024

DEMAND FOR MATHEMATICS TEACHERS IN ONTARIO

There are and will be jobs for future teachers who are qualified to teach mathematics.

Ontario College of Teachers

Mathematics Teacher Supply and Demand Update

(The following information was kindly provided by Mr. Frank McIntire of the Ontario College of Teachers)

  • Two current Ontario College of Teachers studies
    oStudy 1 - College members in 2000 resident in Ontario (http://www.oct.on.ca/english/ps/march_2001/default.htm)
    oStudy 2 - College members in 1999, employed as teachers in Ontario in 1998, did not participate in 1998 retirement exodus, continued to teach in 1999 (http://www.oct.on.ca/english/ps/december_1998/cover.htm)
  • Both studies forecast retirements by 2005 and by 2010 for teachers who have mathematics as an intermediate-senior teaching subject

  • Study 1 Findings
    College of Ontario-Resident Members - 2000

  • Province-wide teachers with mathematics as a teaching subject (J/I and I/S)

  • English language - 9,742
    28 per cent (2,719) retire by 2005
    43 per cent (4,224) retire by 2010

    French language - 550
    15 per cent (68) retire by 2005
    28 per cent (152) retire by 2010

    Study 2 Findings
    Continuing Ontario Teachers in 1999

  • Province-wide employed teachers with mathematics as a teaching subject (J/I and I/S)

    All school boards - 8,431
    22 per cent (1,862) retire by 2005
    37 per cent (3,133) retire by 2010
    Variations by school board type
    English public - 25 per cent by 2005, 41 per cent by 2010
    English Catholic - 13 per cent by 2005, 26 per cent by 2010
    French Public - 23 per cent by 2005, 45 per cent by 2010
    French Catholic - 16 per cent by 2005, 31 per cent by 2010

    •Regional Forecasts

    Eastern Ontario - 21 per cent (2005), 34 per cent (2010)
    Central Ontario - 18 per cent (2005), 33 per cent (2010)
    Toronto - 24 per cent (2005), 41 per cent (2010)
    Southwest - 24 per cent (2005), 41 per cent (2010)
    Northeast - 32 per cent (2005), 47 per cent (2010)
    Northwest - 27 per cent (2005), 42 per cent (2010)

    Commentary

  • Study 2 provides highlights by region and board type

  • Study 1 is more comprehensive in that it forecasts for all teachers, including teachers who have taken pensions, but have not yet retired from profession - many current teachers are teaching post-retirement within 95-day limit, and their withdrawal will add to school boards' math staffing challenges - they are not included in Study 2

  • Study 2 reveals highest math turn-over in English public schools, French public (small numbers) and in Northern Ontario

  • Although Central Ontario has youngest teacher population, they are challenged by staffing for rapidly growing enrolment, in addition to retiree replacements

  • Numbers focus on retirement only - data on pre-retirement exits is not available


    - Introduction - Consecutive Programs - Concurrent Programs -
    - Glossary of Terms - Teachable Subjects -
    -Planning Ahead - Demand for Mathematics Teachers -

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